MLB 2016 Playoff Preview – BAL vs. TOR

MLB Bracket.JPG

Game One: Baltimore vs. Toronto

First thing is first, let’s look at the stats:

TOR v BAL.JPG

I’ll probably play around with that view above, but essentially, blue is Toronto and orange is Baltimore. Side by side comparison by position. The bottom Advantage area is which team had a majority of side by side leaders.

We can deduce from this that in 2016, Baltimore was actually the more powerful team, but Toronto was quite a bit more patient at the plate, hit for average, and had a better chance driving one into the gap when it matters.

From a starting pitcher perspective, both starters (Tillman, 16-6; Stroman, 9-10) have a couple post season starts and each have a win, but nothing to really write home about. If either one of them is on their game, they can be very hard to hit. I’d give a slight advantage to Stroman based on nothing more than my instincts.

So who’s going to win? I was at the greatest baseball game of all time – the 2014 KC vs. Oakland play-in game. And literally anything can happen. Both of these teams have taking a sip of toilet water in recent playoff years, and strange enough, both from my boys in KC. Statistically, the away team has a 6-2 record since the implementation of the play-in game.

I think Toronto is going to win. I think they jump Tillman early, and go to their own pen early and often to make sure they get to the next round. While Baltimore out-powered the starting 9 for Toronto this season, something magical happens in the playoffs in Canada, and I’m putting my (fake) money on Toronto.

 

 

 

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